Political noise isn’t my department, but this is just too delicious. Alan Lichtman had a good reputation as an election predictor. He missed this time.
Ideally, when an expert or scientist makes a big mistake he goes into seclusion to rethink his assumptions. Ideally he modifies his theory, or abandons his theory and starts fresh. This is EXACTLY how learning happens. You don’t learn when things are going right, you learn when your expectation fails.
Common proverbs are packed with correct advice on this situation, and Lichtman is breaking all the rules. He’s going public every chance he gets. Every time he makes an utter fool of himself, sounding arrogant and royal and megalomaniacal.
Now his reputation is absolutely gone.
Polistra's Mill 